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Polling expert dismantles Labour politician’s plot to unseat Boris Johnson at election

The Labour candidate for Uxbridge and South Ruislip admitted to having taken on the challenge to merely changing the conversation rather than actually win over Boris Johnson. But now the Labour Party believes he can make history and unseat a Prime Minister. He told Sky News: “For me, part of the reason why I’m so excited and I have so much energy in this campaign, is does our democracy have that capacity to allow a young, working-class kid – a local – to unseat a prime minister?”

But the Iranian-born MP hopeful’s dream was slashed by founding partner of Britainthinks, Debora Mattinson.

The poll expert claimed Mr Milani’s chance of winning the seat against the Prime Minister was “very unlikely”.

She said: “I think it’s very unlikely that Boris Johnson will lose Uxbridge.

“One thing that matters a lot, actually, in a lot of these close-contest seats is incumbency.

One thing that matters a lot, actually, in a lot of these close-contest seats is incumbency

Deborah Mattinson

“And clearly, he is the incumbent. The Labour candidate is not very well known.

“It’s going to be very hard for him to get a campaign up and running.

“That said, the Tories mustn’t be complacent. There are a number of more Remain seats than Uxbridge where I think they would be vulnerable probably to a Lib Dem challenge.

“So, yes, of course, he’s going to lose seats in Scotland as well.”

In 2017, Mr Johnson saw his majority halved to 5,034 when Labour outperformed expectations.

But peaking on the BBC One Andrew Marr Show, polling guru John Curtice claimed the Conservative Party under the leadership of Boris Johnson has gained considerable trust among Brexit voters in the country.

Mr Curtice also explained how Remain voters, now split between Labour and the Liberal Democrats, will also help the Prime Minister win his party a clear majority at the next general election. 

He said: “This is what is crucial. In a sense, the opportunity for Boris Johnson to be able to win a general election lies on two foundations.

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“Over a half of those who voted Leave in 2016 now say they’d vote Conservatives whereas only around a quarter said they’d vote for the Brexit Party.

“And if those numbers get pushed a bit further then the Conservative are in clear territory.

“Foundation number two is the relative success of the Liberal Democrats in dividing up the Remain vote.

“They are now competing quite heavily with Labour for the Remain vote – although today’s polls suggest they have fallen back a bit.

“But it’s the fact that the Leave vote has to a fair degree united behind the Tories and the Remain vote has divided between the Labour and the Liberal Democrats, that means the Conservatives can look forward to the prospect of an election.”

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