Vaccine success: Number of Covid patients in hospital to be halved next month – projection

EU warned of 'retaliation' from UK on vaccine export ban

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The news reinforces the success of the UK’s vaccination rollout – and indicates a strong possibility that lockdown easing will continue as planned. Admissions to English hospitals are set to be drastically cut down and Covid related deaths are expected to fall from 92 to fewer than 20 a day.

Government models shared with The Times predict a drop in hospital patients from over 4,000 to about 2,000 next month, confirming the successful impact of the UK’s vaccination rollout.

The models were created by SPI-M after children returned to school at the start of March.

It forecasts a halve in the number of hospital admissions from 294, to fewer than 150.

Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, who has seen the forecasted data, said the UK will “bash on” with lockdown easing which begins next week.

The first minor change in the roadmap out of lockdown will see groups of six or two households be able to meet outdoors again from March 29.

Hairdressers, nail salons and some non-essential shops will open on April 12, with pubs and restaurants also resuming a well-ventilated outdoor service.

Mr Johnson has been under pressure from backbench revolts calling for an accelerated timeline to the roadmap out of lockdown.

The calls come as MPs vote today on plans to extend the Government’s Covid-related powers until the end of June.

Speaking in relation to lockdown powers on March 24, Mr Johnson said “anything redundant will go.”

Mr Johnson also said that “people want certainty over haste,” and promised to stick to his proposed roadmap out of lockdown.

Next month, there is expected to be a shortage of vaccines in the UK.

In addition, at least 1.7 million doses are expected to be retested meaning vaccine rollout will decline over the next month.

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Currently, over 28 million adults have been vaccinated in the UK so far, with roughly seven in ten of those aged between 50 and 54 having received their jab according to NHS England.

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