Russia: Putin facing ‘internal division’ in the military says expert
We use your sign-up to provide content in ways you’ve consented to and to improve our understanding of you. This may include adverts from us and 3rd parties based on our understanding. You can unsubscribe at any time. More info
Vladimir Putin will be forced to choose his successor this year as his popularity continues to plunge amid military defeats, according to his former speech writer. The Russian leader will ‘seek to hand over the reins to whomever he deems to be a worthy heir’ and henceforth reitire to his luxury Black Sea Palace. This will see him give up his grip, with a new technocratic successor who will negotiate an end to the war with Ukraine.
These admissions come after he told the Khodorkovsky Live YouTube channel that he would not be involved in the 2024 election. And, his inner circle reportedly no longer sees him as a reliable source of “stability” for the country, it is claimed.
Equally, they are alarmed by the rise of Yevgeny Prighozin, the head of the armed militant group, Wagner, he said. The private army is so far loyal to the Kremlin, but is likely to turn on an elite seen as failing in the war effort.
Abbas Gallyamov, from the Foreign Policy Institute, has said that the inner circle fears being slaughtered with Putin’s sledgehammer – the extrajudicial punishment dished out to his jail convict soldiers who refuse to fight or seek to defect to Ukraine.
“The apparatus looks at Prigozhin and stops seeing Putin as guarantor of their stability,” he said.
“The whole apparatus sits in horror, looking at Prigozhin and being scared that [his forces] will come after them.
“They personally fear his sledgehammer.”
If Putin seeks nomination for yet another term he “might really slip and fail to be elected”.
Gallyamov warned: “He would try to rig the elections, [but it is] fraught with….revolution…
“This is far too big of a risk for the system.”
He is likely to nominate an underling as president – such as Mayor of Moscow Sergey Sobyanin, premier Mikhail Mishustin, or his uber-loyalist deputy chief of staff Dmitry Kozak.
“Such people can really win the election,” he said.
“Yes, then they will have to negotiate with Ukraine, with the West, and break the deadlock within the system.”
Yet “for Putin, this is a good option, compared with Ceausescu or Gaddafi,” he said, the latter of which was ousted by a NATO intervention in 2011.
“At least Putin will have guarantees of personal security.”
Current laws mean he would be a “senator for life”.
“He will get the opportunity to end his days calmly in [his] palace in Gelendzhik.”
Source: Read Full Article